[Fin] The Carousel of Chaos (role madness murdergame)

[Florien]

no good reason... you keep saying that youkeepsayingthat but there was no good reason... good reason, by your standardsthatis, to vote for ANYONE! Why is... why is this... your hangup? Why that? There... there will never be a good reason we were just... we were just told! We were told before!

[wingedcatgirl]

"Besides, you've got a very good reason to vote! If you don't, I'll get mad."

[PointMaid]

[*sigh*]

How about a deadline again, then? If you don't give us a deadline, well... it's unsurprising we have little urgency.

[Kennifer]

"...must we encourage them?"

[Mr. Lee Hammer]

She's just doing this for amusement, isn't she? Cossix help us all, Brian says before taking another swig.

[Oggy123]

"Uuuuhhh..."

[wingedcatgirl]

"'Uuuuhhh' indeed. Fine, fine. I'll give you three -- well, I'll give you this amount of time."

And Jevil slaps down another giant hourglass next to the first one.

[noodlesnook]

"I agree with Lithium," Bronwyn says. They'd chosen to keep silent so as to not reach a hasty conclusion, but with the sudden deadline being dropped on them, they figured they should start speeding things up.
"It's rather suspicious how the Bonded haven't been targeted, though they've repeatedly stated their innocence. Then again, perhaps this is just all due to pure coincidence. Who knows, maybe the killer is plotting their demise at this moment." 
They appear uneasy at the mention of "killer".

[Oggy123]

Kirby looks at Bronwyn a little bit. Ribbon appears slightly worried.

[Florien]

Oh, we've been targeted. That's why... that's why Fourto died. Because we were targeted and it missed and hit a killer, because of a bus driver... imeanprobablythatswhatithinkhappeneditrustedintherebeingabusdriveroraprotectorsmartenoughtohelpbecauseimeanwhatevertheydohitsbothofussoitsagooddealonpowersimean

[Kennifer]

"Which still can't be proven, or can it? Unless whoever did the bus-driving speaks up to confirm it. And even then if a third party killer is involved it's even more complicated. Did a kill get redirected to Fourto, did a third party just go after Fourto in the first place and Avril's either being paranoid or hiding something? Did a third party killer go after Avril not knowing its alignment and it got redirected? Or was it actually just the killer team's dualgunner thing with one of Fourto's shots getting redirected like Avril theorized?"

Lithium sighs.

"Unfortunately the only way we can prove the third party killer thing is if we either happen to execute one today... or if there's multiple deaths again without someone hiding and with the dualgunner dead."

"...Am I missing something? I feel like I probably am."

[Whistle]

I-- I don't know who could have redirected the shots. If I gave the dragon or the lady a, a gun, sure, possible, but... the computer girl's melting to death right now in an ash pit! Somebody must have done a-- a fire attack or something on them, and if it wasn't the big dragon then it was...
Autumn realizes something... turns to Kirby and Ribbon.
I-- I know you... from a video game... do you shoot stars or something?

[Oggy123]

"...Eh? Sometimes, but i thought the fire was from some fireworks, poyo?"

"I think it's that whoever did that uses fireworks to do it, not that the person naturally has fire abilities."

[Florien]

if that's how you're going to be about it... about it... I... When it was... Aaaah... That's the same logic as... as... No yes we're doing this imsorryimsorryimsorry

/Vote Autumn

[Whistle]

S—so you are Bonded? Or are you just defending your fellow killer?

[PointMaid]

Not that I think Autumn's cleared, but... really, now? For... questioning things and bringing up a valid point about what the pink kid might be able to do? Thought that was what we were supposed to be doing.

And Lithium's right. At the moment, any bus-driving or anything else is unconfirmed. Seriously, if someone has information that can help clear things up, they should do it now.

[Mr. Lee Hammer]

Or what about this dragon? Is it capable of starting fires or not?

[Florien]

I! DON'T! START! FIRES!

...

Avril takes a moment to calm down after the prospect of an accusation of firestarting happens.

Now that we've... that we've got that settled... I would think you'd be happy that... happy that I'm no longer going after you, smallonewhosnameiforgotimsorry. Autumn has been... been been trying. To get at me. You see it. Before, and also now, through... through kirby and... and the other one.

Avril seems like it's about to stop talking for a moment, before it twitches like it thought of something.

Also... also... let's do numbers. I'm good... I'm good... I'm good with numbers. There were... there were... twelve of us. Three of them... three of them... were killers. One of the... one of the killers. Is dead. Not two of them. Let's do... some... wordwordwordword... probability... math... STATISTICS. Statistics. Let's do some statistics.

---

If there are twelve people... and two of them are bonded... and three of them are killers... the chances of both being killers given that bonded exist is... is very low. 1/6 of the players are bonded, and 1/4 of them are killers. That means a full overlap will happen... will happen... 1/24th of the time. So there's a 1/24 chance of both... both me and kirby being killers. The chance for a single overlap is 1/12. Out of every twelve times we were... we were given roles, GIVEN THAT THE BONDED EXIST, you'd expect... you'd expect one twelfth of those times... being the time that we are tragic-bonded. So, there's... there's a 3/24... 1/7th chance of either or both of us being a killer. It's... not much. So... so... there's... there's a 6/7 chance you'd kill two innocents. Except it's... except it's worse than that.

Avril pauses for effect, or possibly to do more math.

But that's... that's without the knowledge that one of the killers was part of a bond. So actually, 1/6 of the players are killers who could possibly be bonded, and 1/6 of the players are definitely bonded. So it's... it's 1/36 that both of us... both of us are killers, and 1/18 that one of us is. So... actually... it's... it's... 1/12th chance of either or both of us being killers... So... so you shouldn't. That's... that's 11/12 times you'd kill two non-killers.

[Mr. Lee Hammer]

Ahhhhhhhhh!!!! Brian yells as he feels like his head exploded like a timebomb upon Avril's shouting. He clamps his head as he collapses.

All right, I'm sorry! You don't have to shout it to the world! Ugh, still hungover, I don't need you getting loud.

Brian takes a bit before he stands up.

Anything for a headache here?

> Search for headache medicine (probably isn't anything like that here, but it doesn't hurt to look anyway)

[Kennifer]

Speaking of looking for medical type things Lithium will

> See if any evidence exists that a medkit could've been sent to Khom during the chaos last night. Probably not but just in case.

[wingedcatgirl]

> Search for headache medicine (@"Lee the Hammer")
Incredibly, you manage to find a bottle! ... Oh, it's empty. Damn it.

> See if any evidence exists that a medkit could've been sent to Khom during the chaos last night. Probably not but just in case. (@Kennifer)
After some quick searching, you come to the conclusion that game-mechanical items like inventions and messages and fruit baskets automatically and instantaneously evaporate into the aether without a trace the moment their owner dies.

... How you managed to figure out a fundamental law of magic from a murder scene, you're not sure. But you're very sure of this conclusion.

---

Votes: (5/8 to confirm)
Candy: (none)
Autumn: Avril

[Kennifer]

"...well damn. It was worth a try though!"

[PointMaid]

...It was

[Mr. Lee Hammer]

Of course the damn bottle's empty, Brian says as he throws the empty bottle to the wall.
Well, I don't have any ideas myself.

[Oggy123]

"I'm not sure if we really have any leads myself."